The radical Shiite axis led by Iran has been deployed through its proxies throughout the Middle East. The Axis’ military capabilities, with an emphasis on missile use, are numerous and advanced. These capabilities directly and immediately threaten the Axis enemies in the Middle East, led by the United States, Israel, Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states, which have diplomatic relations with Israel such as the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain.
Hezbollah is the main proxy threatening Israel. All of Hezbollah’s missile and rocket arrays, especially the precision missiles, have the potential to cause immense damage to the State of Israel and to the IDF. These arrays will be a difficult and very complex challenge for Israel in the next war, both in the civilian and military aspects.
In the next escalation, Hezbollah intends to operate these arrays in full force, with an emphasis on the surface-to-surface missile/rocket array, with the intention of generating damage to the hinterland and to the civilian (power plants, sea ports and airports) and military infrastructures (headquarters, bases, etc.) of the state of Israel. Such an attack, according to Hezbollah’s methodology, would disrupt the IDF’s plans and impair its maneuvering and warfare efforts inside Lebanese territory.
The precision-guided missile (PGM) project is a red line for the State of Israel. Israel will not allow Iran-sponsored Hezbollah to locate precision-guided missile factories throughout Lebanon. In our opinion, Israel will act in every possible way, visible or otherwise, in order to prevent the continuation of the missile accuracy project.
The anti-aircraft missile array poses a challenge to the Israeli Air Force’s freedom of action. The Israeli Air Force is a central factor in the defeating of Israel’s enemies. In addition, this missile system can pose a threat to air traffic in the northern part of Israel.
The surface-to-sea missile array is also an immense threat. A surface-to-sea missile system can undermine the IDF’s freedom of maritime operation. In addition, this system can damage Israeli gas rigs and thus severely harm Israel’s energy sector. Moreover, these missiles pose a threat to ships arriving at Israel’s naval ports (especially the largest naval port in the northern city of Haifa). This threat could result in a de-facto blockade of Israel and severe detriment to Israel’s imports (of which most arrive by sea).
Hezbollah’s working assumption is that the IDF will enter Lebanon in the case of escalation performing a maneuver while taking over geographical areas inside Lebanon. In this scenario, the IDF will utilize many ground forces consisting of armored and tank forces and infantry forces.
Hezbollah’s anti-tank missile array consisting of very advanced missiles with a range of several kilometers will wait for IDF forces to enter Lebanon from the ground.
These missile arrays are deployed in all 200 Shiite villages in the area south of the Zaharani River up to the border with Israel and the adjacent areas have become part of Hezbollah’s military infrastructure and are part of from what is called by Hezbollah “the organization’s regional defensive plan”.
This “defensive plan” is actually based on two “lines of defense”. The “first line of defense” stretches from the Israeli border up to the Litani River, and the “second line of defense” stretches from north of the Litani River across to the Zahrani River.
Hezbollah will launch missiles at Israeli communities within Israeli territory and at IDF forces from houses in the villages and areas adjacent to these villages using the Lebanese as human shields.
IDF Chief-of-Staff Lt.-Gen. Aviv Kochavi addressed the subject of Hezbollah’s rocket launchers and missile arrays in his January 26 address to the Tel Aviv University’s Institute for National Security Studies (INSS):
“In the next war, Hezbollah’s array of launchers, missiles and rockets will be activated at full force. Many missiles and rockets will fall throughout Israel, and it will not be simple…The enemy has chosen to place its weapons, missiles and rockets among urban areas exploiting the local population as human shields…The IDF will carry out intensive attacks on these missile-launching and weapons-storage sites, whether they’re out in the open space or adjacent or inside buildings …It is our duty to attack the tens and hundreds of rocket and missile launchers deployed in or near populated houses. Such an attack will prevent harm to Israeli citizens’ homes and thus prevent the loss of dozens of people’s lives…”
With all the respect, any war with the lebanese would and should cause full destruction of this “state”, meaning, any attack should be answered by Disproportionate response ‘which means Tens of thousands killed (and possibly hundreds) and a country that will need a life time to recover. that’s the punnish of the agressor. Lebanon.
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