The Northern Arena and the Shiite Axis – Weekly Review of Events and Key Data 7-14 Oct.

The second week of the IDF’s ground maneuvers in southern Lebanon:

During the second week of the ground maneuver in southern Lebanon, the IDF continued to destroy Hezbollah’s infrastructure and weapons. IDF forces continue to locate large quantities of weapons hidden in civilian homes in villages in southern Lebanon. The IDF detected numerous infrastructures belonging to the Radwan unit, including underground tunnel shafts where Hezbollah terrorists stored weapons, combat equipment, and ammunition, preparing for an invasion of the Galilee. The IDF also uncovered rocket launchers, mortar shells, and anti-tank missiles aimed directly at communities in northern Israel.

At the same time, airstrikes continue, deep inside and in southern Lebanon, targeting rocket launchers and weapons depots. In addition, the IDF continues its campaign to impair Hezbollah’s arms smuggling from Syria and Lebanon. See article Hezbollah’s Land of Tunnels – A Strategic Weapons Smuggling Tunnel.

During the week, two additional divisions joined the ground maneuvers in southern Lebanon: the 146th and 91st Divisions, and on September 13 it was reported that there was an additional expansion of the ground maneuvers in additional areas in southern Lebanon. In this context, the communities of Zar’it, Shtula, Shomera, Netu’a, and Even Menachem have been declared as closed military zones.“

This past week the IDF exposed an attack tunnel located in southern Lebanon, around the village of Marwahin, near the border with Israel. The tunnel crossed into Israeli territory reaching near the community of Zar’it. This is the first penetrating attack tunnel detected in the current ground maneuver.

Video: Footage from the tunnel entering Israeli territory from Lebanon near the community of Zar’it

Hezbollah continues its attempts to show that Hezbollah terrorists are managing to repel IDF forces from advancing towards the villages in southern Lebanon. The reality is completely different.

Above: The Israeli flag is raised on the promenade in Maroun a-Ras

Hezbollah tries to glorify and praise its actions against Israel, when in practice almost all of the attacks in the past week against IDF forces maneuvering in Lebanon were carried out by remotely firing high-trajectory fire, anti-tank missiles or IEDs, rather than direct confrontation.

At the same time, Hezbollah continued to claim that it was directing its attacks against IDF troop concentrations, bases and supply lines at military bases, near the border, in communities, and deep inside Israel. Hezbollah tries to continue to present that it only attacks military targets, when in fact it fires statistical and inaccurate weapons, such as rockets, at population centers in Israel with the aim of harming civilians.

Hezbollah even tried to claim that the IDF uses the homes of civilians in communities as human shields in large cities such as Haifa, the Krayot, Tiberias and Acre. This is in order to justify its attacks against cities and towns in Israel. In reality, there is no truth to this. IDF bases are separate from civilian areas and are not located in the heart of cities to use civilians as human shields.

Hezbollah is ready for the war of attrition against Israel for which it has been preparing for long. The attrition manifested in the continued rocket fire and attacks on Israel and the increase in their intensity is part of his “victory picture.” In light of the severe damage it has suffered, Hezbollah needs “victory pictures” and will work to achieve them all the time. Its activity to achieve them will intensify as time passes and reports of any future political agreement increase.

Despite the IDF’s significant damage to Hezbollah’s weapons depots throughout Lebanon and the assessment that two-thirds of its short- and medium-range rocket firepower has been struck, Hezbollah proves that it still possesses capabilities that could cause great damage to lives and property.

It is our assessment that Hezbollah’s trump card is the UAV system, and it will continue to exploit it as much as possible. As evidence, Hezbollah’s “success” in attacking an IDF base in the Wadi Ara area by a suicide UAV on September 13, wounding dozens of soldiers and killing four.

It is quite possible that Hezbollah retains additional capabilities for the future, such as firing a large barrage of precision missiles.

During the fighting, Hezbollah exploits UNIFIL’s presence in southern Lebanon as part of its human shield tactic. It operates in the vicinity of UNIFIL outposts and positions in order to defend itself against IDF attacks. During the past month alone, Hezbollah fired about 25 rockets and missiles at Israeli communities and IDF soldiers from nearby compounds it established near UNIFIL positions in southern Lebanon, taking advantage of their proximity to UN forces.

Before the start of the fighting (October 8, 2023), Hezbollah took advantage of the fact that UNIFIL did not want and could not fulfill the mandate given to it under Resolution 1701. Hezbollah established part of the Radwan unit’s attack infrastructure very close to UNIFIL bases, taking advantage of the fact that UNIFIL preferred to ignore it. UNIFIL neither prevented nor reported.

In the video: An underground shaft belonging to the Radwan unit a few meters from a UN post and base

During the past week, two UNIFIL members were wounded in the Naqoura area (October 10). In addition, in two other incidents, shots that were fired hit UN positions around Labouneh and Ras Naqoura. These incidents were caused due to the fact that Hezbollah uses UNIFIL bases and positions in southern Lebanon as human shields and deliberately operates in their vicinity.

On October 13, UNIFIL announced that “tanks destroyed the main gate of the UNIFIL post and entered by force. Fifteen UNIFIL soldiers were injured from gunfire smoke that spread throughout the area of the post.” This was an incident in which a massive volume of anti-tank missiles were fired at an IDF force during an operation in southern Lebanon. Several IDF soldiers were wounded in the incident, and in order to evacuate the wounded, two tanks retreated backwards, since they could not advance due to the threat of gunfire, several meters towards the UNIFIL position. After the firing ended and the wounded were evacuated, the tanks left the position. During the incident, a smoke-screen was executed for safe medical evacuation. IDF forces maintained constant contact with UNIFIL. Throughout the incident, the IDF posed no danger to UNIFIL from its activity.

During the week, UNIFIL issued official statements condemning the IDF’s entry into its bases and even reported on the entry of troops into Lebanon. UNIFIL, which has failed to report on Hezbollah’s activities in southern Lebanon, excels in reporting on IDF operations in southern Lebanon in a manner that endangers IDF forces.

From UNIFIL’s statements, it seems that they are beginning to imitate Hezbollah, also reporting and issuing exaggerated and inaccurate public statements, to say the least. UNIFIL undermines Israel’s efforts to combat terrorism and target Hezbollah after failing to do so itself. This follows a request made by IDF representatives to the UN on September 30 to distance its personnel from positions located within 5 km of the blue line. Yesterday (September 13), Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reiterated a call to the UN Secretary-General to remove UNIFIL forces from southern Lebanon.

It seems that UNIFIL is beginning to imitate Hezbollah, and is also beginning to report and publish exaggerated and inaccurate public publications, to say the least…

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, again, appealed to the UN Secretary-General to evacuate UNIFIL forces from southern Lebanon. On September 30, IDF representatives submitted a request to the UN to remove its personnel from positions within 5 km of the Blue Line.

We believe, as of this writing, that the IDF’s maneuvering activity, the severe damage caused to senior Radwan unit officials, and the damage to Radwan’s attack infrastructure, have succeeded in lowering the threat of a Radwan unit ground infiltration in its original format as planned. In addition, in our understanding, the chances of carrying out an infiltration plan in a more limited format are also very low (“only” a few dozen/hundreds of operatives in a limited area). In our assessment, the above two outlines no longer constitute a clear and present danger. At the same time, it should be remembered that there is still a very limited possibility of penetration of small squads of individual operatives throughout the entire sector. Such a possibility will always exist.

We identified at least 720 missiles and rockets fired at Israel from Lebanon this week. This compares with about 500 rockets and missiles fired last week. However, the number of attacks remained almost the same as last week – a total of 255 (compared to 253 attacks last week). This means that this week, Hezbollah’s rocket barrages were at greater amount. Hezbollah’s attacks this week were also more lethal, resulting in the deaths of 2 civilians and 6 soldiers. Most of Hezbollah’s attacks were aimed at areas within 0-5 km of the border with Lebanon, targeting communities close to the border. Hezbollah’s primary weapon is hightrajectory fire.


The Lebanese arena:

War data:

This past week two civilians were killed from a rocket fired at Kiryat Shmona, 1 civilian foreign worker as a result of the explosion of Hezbollah unexploded ordnance, and two IDF fighters during the maneuver in southern Lebanon.

On September 13 a Hezbollah UAV exploded at an IDF base in the Wadi Ara area, killing 4 more soldiers and wounding 63 soldiers. In addition, during the week, 25 soldiers were wounded in the fighting in southern Lebanon.

As a result of Hezbollah attacks, 28 civilians and 41 IDF soldiers have been killed in Israel so far, a total of 69 people.

In Israel, the government evacuated 43 communities located up to five kilometers from the Lebanese border. A total of about 68,000 citizens. To them were added several thousand more who decided to evacuate independently.

It should be noted that some of the Israeli communities have not been fully evacuated and there is a civilian presence there (agriculture and industry).

The Israeli government has extended the evacuation period until 31 December 2024.

According to the Israel Nature and Parks Authority, since October 7, 196,000 dunams have been charred in hundreds of locations across northern Israel (as of September 11, 2024).

According to data from the Northern Horizon Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, since the beginning of the war so far, about 1,645 different events of strikes have occurred around the conflict line, ranging from private homes, high-rise residential buildings, public buildings, businesses, agriculture and more. It should be emphasized that in each strike, multiple assets were damaged.

54% of the strikes in Israel as a result of Hezbollah attacks were in private housing buildings, 11% in public buildings, 4% in chicken coops or cowsheds, 3% in infrastructure, 2% in agricultural or pastureland and orchards. In addition, 2% in a business structure and another 19% have not yet been classified, as a result of inability to reach the premises.

During the past week 257 attacks were carried out on the northern border of which Hezbollah claimed responsibility for 133 attacks against Israel.

Since the beginning of the war, 3,725 attacks have been carried out in the northern arena, the vast majority of which were carried out by Hezbollah.

The upward trend in rocket fire toward unevacuated areas and the expansion of Hezbollah’s range of fire has occurred consistently since the beginning of the war. However, it is evident that the significant upward trend in rocket fire into unevacuated areas occurred in September 2024, when Hezbollah carried out 160 attacks into these areas, an increase of 355%. From the beginning of September to September 17, 2024, Hezbollah carried out 33 attacks towards unevacuated areas. From September 17 to September 30, Hezbollah carried out 127 attacks in the unevacuated areas.  September 17, 2024, the day the pager attack attributed to Israel occurred, is a turning point in the conduct and policy vis-à-vis Hezbollah, and accordingly, we see the change in Hezbollah’s attacks against Israel.

Hezbollah carried out 3,235 attacks against Israel on the northern border from the time it started fighting against it on October 8, 2023, until the start of the ground maneuvers in Lebanon. Hezbollah carried out 87% of the attacks against Israel within a range of 0-5 km from the border. Hezbollah has increased its fire in recent months, reaching areas more than 5 km from the border, areas not evacuated, and some deep inside Israel.

Prominent launching and shooting incidents against Israel

(October 7) 32 attacks were carried out against Israel from Lebanon, of which Hezbollah claimed responsibility for 10 of the attacks. As part of the attacks, Hezbollah fired about 20 rockets at the community of Kfar Vradim and about 35 rockets at Karmiel. There was extensive property damage and there were no casualties. In addition, Hezbollah fired five missiles at the Tel Aviv area, more than 100 kilometers from the border between Israel and Lebanon. Some were intercepted and the rest fell in open areas.

Video: Documentation of the damage caused by a rocket hitting homes (Credit: Unknown)

(October 8) 26 attacks were carried out against Israel from Lebanon, of which Hezbollah claimed responsibility for 12 attacks. Hezbollah fired 25 rockets into the area of Tiberias and the Lower Galilee. In addition, Hezbollah fired about 100 rockets in two barrages at Haifa and the Krayot, where about half a million civilians live. Some of the rockets were intercepted and some fell in the area, wounding one civilian.

(October 9) 29 attacks were carried out against Israel from Lebanon, of which Hezbollah claimed responsibility for 16 attacks. Hezbollah fired two munitions into the Caesarea area, about 70 km from the border between Israel and Lebanon, and about 40 rockets into Haifa and the Krayot, wounding five civilians. In addition, another barrage of 20 rockets into the city of Kiryat Shmona killed two civilians who did not manage to reach a protected area.

Video: Documentation of a rocket hitting a residential building in Safed (Credit: Unknown)

(October 10) There were 29 attacks against Israel from Lebanon, of which Hezbollah claimed responsibility for 19 attacks. Most of the attacks were carried out against communities near the border with Lebanon. In addition, Hezbollah fired about 50 rockets into the Krayot area.

(October 11) On the eve of Yom Kippur. There were 44 attacks against Israel from Lebanon, of which Hezbollah claimed responsibility for 23 attacks. The attacks were carried out at communities throughout northern Israel at a distance of up to 50 km from the border: the Krayot and Haifa area, the Jezreel Valley, the Lower Galilee, the central Galilee and the Golan Heights. That same day, Hezbollah fired about 100 rockets in a number of separate barrages, and a barrage of about 20 at the city of Safed and Rosh Pina.

(October 12) Yom Kippur. There were 32 attacks against Israel from Lebanon, of which Hezbollah claimed responsibility for 18 attacks. Hezbollah fired about 30 rockets at Metula and about 40 rockets at Kiryat Shmona. In addition, Hezbollah fired about 37 rockets at Haifa and the Krayot.

(October 13) 64 attacks were carried out against Israel from Lebanon, of which Hezbollah claimed responsibility for 35 attacks. The attacks were carried out in communities near the border, as well as toward Haifa and the Krayot, Ma’a lot Tarshiha, Karmiel, and one attack in the Hadera area. In addition, Hezbollah launched a suicide UAV at the Wadi Araarea, killing 4 soldiers and wounding 63 others.

Hezbollah and other organization casualties

Hezbollah stopped regularly publicizing its casualties. However, the social networks publish announcements about funerals of operatives killed against the backdrop of posters of Hezbollah fatalities. Based on reports on social media, we identified at least 82 Hezbollah operatives killed this week. But the numbers are much higher.

As of October 8, 2023, about 929 Hezbollah operatives that we managed to document were killed, but the actual number is apparently over 1,000. Most of the operatives killed originated south of the Litani River (583 operatives killed, constituting 62% of all the operatives killed).

In addition, two Amal operatives were killed this week, one of them a senior operative who served as commander of the Blida and Markaba areas.

According to reports in Lebanon, since the beginning of the war, 83 operatives of other organizations in Lebanon have been killed, including Hamas, the Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Amal Movement, Al-Jama’ah al-Salamiya (Al-Fajr), the Lebanese Resistance Brigades, Fatah and the Democratic Front.

Eliminations of senior Hezbollah figures

This week, 11 senior Hezbollah commanders were eliminated, including the head of Hezbollah’s logistics staff and a member of Hezbollah’s Jihad Council, the commander of the Radwan force’s attack area in Bint Jbeil, the artillery commander in Bint Jbeil, the commander of the Hajir sector, the outgoing commander of the Hajir sector, the commander of operations in the Hajir sector, the commander of the artillery in the Hajir sector, the commander of the Hula area, the commander of the anti-tank system in Mis al-Jabal, and the commander of Radwan’s anti-tank system in Mis al-Jabal.

In addition, the attack in Dahiya (October 4) attempted to eliminate Hashem Safi al-Din, head of the Executive Council and Nasrallah’s intended successor. No final verification has been received at this time, but he is known to be “out of touch.” It is possible that along with Safi al-Din he was also the head of Hezbollah’s intelligence apparatus, codenamed Mortada.

Another attack in Dahiya (October 10) involved an attempted elimination of Wafiq Safa, in charge of Hezbollah’s coordination and liaison unit. He was reportedly critically wounded in the attack, but his condition is not confirmed.

As of October 8, 2023, 126 senior Hezbollah operatives have been eliminated. The most senior is Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah. In addition, among the senior figures killed were Jihad Council members Fouad Shakhar (head of the strategic divisions), Ibrahim Aqil (head of the operations division), Ali Karki (commander of the southern front), and Suheil Hussein Husseini (head of the headquarters) was added this week.

  • 6 Senior Hezbollah leaders (4.7% of those eliminated)
  • 26% of those eliminated, a total of 33, were from the Radwan unit, including the unit’s acting commanders Wassam al-Tawil (January 2024) and Ahmad Mahmoud Wahbi (September 2024).
  • 21.3%, a total of 27 of the geographic units (Southern Front), with an emphasis on the Nasser unit, including unit commander Haj Abu Taleb and Aziz unit commander Ahmad Naama Nasser. The emphasis in the Radwan unit and in the geographical units was placed on eliminating commanders of sectors (equivalent to brigade commanders) and commanders in professional formations (rockets/anti-tanks, etc.).
  • 30, or 23.6%, commanders of various ranks killed in the ground maneuvers in southern Lebanon.
  • Four senior operatives from the air unit, including the unit commander, were eliminated.
  • Three others from Hezbollah’s air defense system.
  • Two senior operatives and the commander of Hezbollah’s weapons transfer unit from Syria to Lebanon (Unit 4400).
  • An operative in the engineering unit and a member of Hezbollah’s Jihad Council.
  • 3.9% of those killed, a total of 5, constituted knowledge centers in the fields of research/development/production of weapons and combat support technology.
  • 7.1%, 9 senior operatives from the rocket missile array, including the unit commander and the unit commander in southern Lebanon.

Prominent airstrikes in Lebanon

(October 7) During the night, Hezbollah’s intelligence headquarters and Hezbollah weapons depots in Beirut were attacked. Hezbollah stores its means of warfare under residential buildings in the heart of Beirut and endangers the population in the area. In addition, Hezbollah targets were attacked in southern Lebanon and the Bekaa Valley.

In the video: Footage from the attack in which secondary explosions can be seen as a result of weapons being found in the building.

(October 7) About 100 IDF planes attacked more than 120 Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon for an hour. The targets attacked were those of the geographic units, the Radwan unit, the missile and rocket array, and Hezbollah’s intelligence headquarters in southern Lebanon. The IDF attacked the headquarters of Hezbollah’s intelligence headquarters in Beirut, weapons manufacturing sites in the Bekaa Valley and southern Lebanon, launching sites and other terrorist infrastructures. In addition, IAF fighter jets attacked more than 70 terrorist targets throughout the day, including military buildings, launchers, command and control sites, and a Hezbollah weapons depot in southern Lebanon.

(October 8) Suheil Hussein Husseini, Hezbollah’s chief of staff and a member of the Jihad Council, was eliminated. The Headquarters Division is a logistical headquarters unit of the terrorist organization and deals with everything related to the budget and organization of the various systems. Hosseini was a partner in arms transfer agreements between Iran and Hezbollah and was responsible for distributing the smuggled weapons between Hezbollah’s various units, in terms of transportation and in allocating resources. He was also a member of the Jihad Council, Hezbollah’s senior military forum.

The headquarters also includes Hezbollah’s research and development unit, a unit engaged in the manufacture of precision missiles, and in the logistics of storing and transporting weapons within Lebanon.

As part of his position, Hosseini was involved in budgeting and logistical management of the organization’s most sensitive projects, including the operational plan for war and other special programs, including carrying out terrorist attacks against the State of Israel from Lebanese and Syrian territory.

(October 10) Terrorist Ahmed Mustafa al-Haj Ali, commander of Hezbollah’s Hula area, was eliminated. In another attack, terrorist Muhammad Ali Hamdan, commander of the anti-tank system in the area of Mis al-Jabal, was eliminated. Both were responsible for hundreds of high-trajectory and anti-tank launches at communities in the Kiryat Shmona area.

(October 10) An attempted elimination of Wafiq Safa was carried out in an airstrike on a building in Beirut. According to recent reports, Safa was critically wounded. There are no further details at this time.

Safa is actually a one-man unit, Hezbollah’s coordination and liaison unit. He was very close to Nasrallah (professionally and family-oriented – his brother-in-law). He was considered Hezbollah’s “special missions man” vis-à-vis various official bodies, and in fact was responsible for coordination between Hezbollah and the Lebanese and international security forces beginning in 1987. He maintained close relations with the heads of the Lebanese internal security apparatuses. When American sanctions were imposed on Safa in 2019, he reportedly took part in organizing hundreds of foreign passports for Hezbollah operatives together with Muhammad Raad, head of the Hezbollah faction in parliament. In addition, Safa exploited his connections to smuggle drugs and weapons and facilitate the movement of Hezbollah operatives at Lebanese ports (sea and aviation) and at the various border crossings. He is considered very active in raising money for Hezbollah supporters and is close to businessmen. Safa was involved in politics and had good relations with major figures. Safa was one of the main figures who acted to take over the Beirut airport. Also working with him were Hashem Safi al-Din, head of the Executive Council, and Haj Fadi, Muhammad Ja’far Qusayr, head of Unit 4400, who were also eliminated.

Hezbollah – General:

(October 8) A speech by Naim Qassem, the deputy of Nasrallah – a speech marking the anniversary of Hezbollah’s war against Israel in support of Gaza.

Naim Qassem noted that despite the painful blows suffered by Hezbollah, command and management are operating regularly, and all eliminated senior officials have successors. A replacement for Nasrallah will also be chosen, and this will be announced in due time.

Qassem mentioned the successes of the Lebanon front, including the evacuation of tens of thousands of Israeli northern residents from their homes, and he threatened that as the war continues, more residents will be uprooted, and the conflict will expand. According to him, the goal of the Lebanon front is to assist and alleviate the situation for Gaza and Lebanon and its people. Hezbollah is the one that initiated attacks against Israel.

Qassem tries to portray that Hezbollah has successfully repelled the IDF’s advances in southern Lebanon. Hezbollah will continue to stand firm and patiently. Despite the blows Hezbollah is taking, Qassem asserts that the organization will persist in exhausting Israel and will continue to carry out attacks against it.

Qassem expressed full support and confidence in Nabih Berri, the Speaker of the Lebanese Parliament and head of the Amal Movement, who serves as Hezbollah’s representative to Western leaders promoting negotiations for a ceasefire. It is worth noting that the Amal Movement fights alongside Hezbollah in southern Lebanon against Israel. Qassem urged not to rush into discussing details and emphasized that no other issues should be addressed before a ceasefire.

He clarified that if Israel continues the war, the territory will determine the outcome, and they will not beg for a solution. “Know that this war is a battle of who will cry out first (for a ceasefire). We will not cry out; we will continue to sacrifice, and with God’s help, you will hear the cries of the Israeli enemy.”

Qassem stated that he supports Nabih Berri’s efforts in ceasefire talks, but Hezbollah is not calling for a ceasefire. Although he did not explicitly mention it, Hezbollah also issued an official statement indicating that a ceasefire is contingent on stopping the fighting and the war in Gaza.

Lebanon – General:

(October 9) In light of the flight of the residents from the Dahiya, thefts and break-ins began. Those caught are beaten and tied to electricity poles with a sign hanging on them: “Thief.”

(October 10) According to UN figures, there are about 600,000 displaced Lebanese in Lebanon as a result of the war.

(October 11) Prime Minister Najib Mikati called for the adoption of a resolution for a full and immediate ceasefire, stressing the commitment of the Lebanese government to implement UN Security Council Resolution 1701 in all its aspects, especially its aspects, related to the deployment of the army in southern Lebanon and strengthening its presence on the Lebanese border, which would ensure the implementation of this resolution.

(October 12) Mohammad Ghalibaf, speaker of the Iranian parliament, visited Beirut and toured the areas attacked in the Dahiya. Ghalibaf met with the speaker of the Lebanese parliament and Amal movement, Nabih Berri, and with the Lebanese prime minister.

(October 13) A number of planes arrived from Saudi Arabia carrying medical equipment and food.

The Syrian arena:

(October 8) An apartment was attacked in the Almaza neighborhood of Damascus, about 600 meters from the Iranian embassy. According to reports, Haj Samer, a senior official in Unit 4400, which was responsible for arms transfers from Iran to Lebanon, was eliminated.

(October 9) Golan file operative Adham Jakhah was eliminated in an airstrike. Hezbollah’s activity continues at all times on the Israeli-Syrian border. Golan file operatives are local Syrians who are handled and directed by Hezbollah for terrorist activity against Israel.

(October 10) An attack was reported in the Hsiaa industrial zone in Homs, where “aid trucks” arrive from Iraq destined to enter Lebanon. Four people were reported injured in the attack. Another airstrike was carried out against a Syrian Army outpost in the Hama area. Third attack on a weapons depot of the Shiite militias in Tal Manna in southern Syria.

Syria -General:

According to an announcement by US Central Command forces on October 11, they carried out a series of airstrikes against several ISIS camps in Syria in the early morning hours of October 11. According to the statement, the strikes will disrupt ISIS’s ability to plan, organize, and conduct attacks against the United States, its allies and partners, and civilians throughout the region and beyond. About 900 American troops are stationed in Syria to prevent the possible return of the ISIS terrorist group.

Shiite Axis – General

During the past week (October 7-14), the Islamic resistance in Iraq claimed responsibility for 20 attacks against Israel. This is an unusually high number of responsibilities claims per week (Last week, the group claimed responsibility for 13 attacks). In five incidents, interception of aerial targets en route to Israel from Iraq was reported, and in another incident, a UAV hit in an open area. The rest of the other incidents have no verification.

Since November 2023, the Islamic resistance in Iraq has begun to carry out attacks against Israel and by October 14, 2024, they have claimed responsibility for 208 attacks against Israel.

Yemen – Houthi-land:

During the past week, there were no reports of coalition attacks against the Houthis. The Houthis claimed responsibility for two attacks against ships, reporting that there were no casualties.

Since October 2023, there have been 215 Houthi attacks against Israel, the United States and other targets.

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Alma Research

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