Executive Summary Since the start of the current campaign against Hezbollah in March 2026, and especially since the ceasefire took effect on April 18, the
A Scenario Analysis By: Yaakov Lappin, Dr. Zoe Levornick, and Tal Beeri The regional campaign that began in March 2026 constitutes a strategic turning point
Key Points:Over the past year, a campaign focused on “Da’wah” (دعوة – inviting individuals to learn about and return to the path of Islam as
Since the beginning of the ceasefire in northern Israel (April 17, 2026), there has been clear continuity—and even a gradual escalation—in Hezbollah’s patterns of operation.
On April 29, the IDF eliminated Muhammad Ahmad Sultan, an Amal operative, in the village of Al-Sawana in southern Lebanon. In the vehicle with him
The current ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon is not perceived by Hezbollah as a binding arrangement or as a basis for security stability, but rather
The healthcare system of the “Shiite duo” in Lebanon exploits its humanitarian status, which grants it protection from attack under international law, yet in practice
The regional campaign against Iran has shifted attention away from the Syrian arena, yet developments during March and early April 2026 demonstrate that Syria continues
